Polymarket is pricing this contract at 77¢ (77% implied probability). Resolves March 1, 2027. Legislative elections to elect the 60 members of the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador are scheduled to take place on February 28, 2027.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 77¢ | 77% | $4K |
Legislative elections to elect the 60 members of the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador are scheduled to take place on February 28, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election, compared to before the election. For the purposes of this market, the number of seats a party held before the election will be the number of seats attributed to that party in the official final results of the February 4, 2024 Salvadoran legislative election, as published by the Supreme Electoral Tribunal of El Salvador: Nuevas Ideas (NI) 54, ARENA 2, PCN 2, PDC 1, and Vamos 1. All other parties will be considered to have held 0 seats. Changes to the composition of the Legislative Assembly after the 2024 election, including resignations, replacements, party switches, or changes in parliamentary-group affiliation, will not be considered. A party's seats gained will be calculated as the number of seats attributed to that party in the official results of the 2027 election minus the number of seats it held before the election, as defined above. This figure may be zero or negative. If the results are n