StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?

Politics Resolves December 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 10¢ (10% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket10¢10%$13K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Trade on Polymarket →
StreetSpread aggregates real-time odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, and Fanatics. Prices update every ~30 seconds via WebSocket. Back to live tracker · Join the app waitlist.

Follow us: X (@thestreetspread) · Instagram (@thestreetspread) · LinkedIn