Polymarket is pricing this contract at 6¢ (6% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 6¢ | 6% | $121 |
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.