StreetSpread · Culture · Polymarket

Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?

Culture Resolves December 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 76¢ (76% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket76¢76%$641

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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