StreetSpread · Weather · Market

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Weather Resolves December 31, 2026 178 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 23¢, while Polymarket has it at 30¢. That's a 5.2¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves December 31, 2026 (~178 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 5.2¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi23¢23%$153K
Polymarket30¢30%$145
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