Polymarket is pricing this contract at 50¢ (50% implied probability). Resolves July 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and Grand Theft Auto VI's officially release in the US.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 50¢ | 50% | $21K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and Grand Theft Auto VI's officially release in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. The resolution source for another pandemic's occurrence will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.