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Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Politics Resolves January 1, 2027 54 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 90¢, while Polymarket has it at 92¢. That's a 0.8¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves January 1, 2027 (~54 days). This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi90¢90%$1.2M
Polymarket92¢92%$12K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in

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