StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will Delcy Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Politics Resolves December 31, 2026 178 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 94¢, while Polymarket has it at 87¢. That's a 10.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves December 31, 2026 (~178 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 10.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi94¢94%$15K
Polymarket87¢87%$8K
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