StreetSpread · Economics · Polymarket

Will USD be less than 1.4M Iranian rials on July 31?

Economics Resolves July 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 3¢ (3% implied probability). Resolves July 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket3%$380

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.

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