StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

Politics Resolves December 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 8¢ (8% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket8%$18K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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