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Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 end of July?

Finance Resolves July 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 15¢ (15% implied probability). Resolves July 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket15¢15%$772

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

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