Polymarket is pricing this contract at 8¢ (8% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 8¢ | 8% | $19K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count. A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count. A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.