Polymarket is pricing this contract at 98¢ (98% implied probability). Resolves January 1, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the White House publicly and officially announces a tariff decrease on Canada between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 98¢ | 98% | $6K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the White House publicly and officially announces a tariff decrease on Canada between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff decrease which is officially announced within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of if/when the change goes into effect. The announced replacement of an existing tariff on Canada with a tariff of a lower rate will qualify, but the replacement of an existing tariff with a tariff of an equal or higher rate will not qualify. The announced removal of a relevant existing tariff will also qualify. A qualifying announcement must be made by Donald Trump acting in his official capacity, through an official White House publication or communication, or by a White House official authorized to speak on behalf of Donald Trump or the White House. Announcements, notices, publications, or actions issued solely by federal departments or agencies, including U.S. Customs and Border Protection, the Department of Commerce, the Office of the United States Trade Representative, or the U.S. International Trade Commission, do not qualify on