StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will Chaz Molder be the Democratic nominee for TN-05?

Politics Resolves August 6, 2026 26 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 94¢, while Polymarket has it at 86¢. That's a 8.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves August 6, 2026 (~26 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 8.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi94¢94%$6K
Polymarket86¢86%$40
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