StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?

Politics Resolves November 3, 2027 485 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 58¢, while Polymarket has it at 55¢. That's a 4.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves November 3, 2027 (~485 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 4.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi58¢58%$2.8M
Polymarket55¢55%$165
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