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Will Céline Amaudruz win the 2026 Swiss Federal Council by-election for Guy Parmelin's seat?

Politics Resolves December 10, 2026 31 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 18¢, while Polymarket has it at 31¢. Resolves December 10, 2026 (~31 days). Switzerland's Federal Assembly is currently scheduled to elect a successor to Federal Councillor Guy Parmelin on December 9, 2026.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi18¢18%$0
Polymarket31¢31%$183

Resolution criteria

Switzerland's Federal Assembly is currently scheduled to elect a successor to Federal Councillor Guy Parmelin on December 9, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual elected by the Federal Assembly to succeed Guy Parmelin as a member of the Swiss Federal Council by June 30, 2027, 11:5

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