StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will Boris Vallaud win the primary to select the French pôle socialiste’s candidate for the 2027 presidential election?

Politics Resolves October 31, 2026 109 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 14¢, while Polymarket has it at 41¢. That's a 26.5¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves October 31, 2026 (~109 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 26.5¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi14¢14%$0
Polymarket41¢41%
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