StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Politics Resolves October 4, 2026 90 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 9¢, while Polymarket has it at 6¢. That's a 2.9¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves October 4, 2026 (~90 days).

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi9%$5K
Polymarket6%
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