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Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31?

Politics Resolves July 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 12¢ (12% implied probability). Resolves July 31, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rubén Rocha Moya is extradited to the United States between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket12¢12%$4K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rubén Rocha Moya is extradited to the United States between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Extradited to the United States” means Rocha Moya is physically transferred to U.S. government custody pursuant to an extradition process or equivalent custody transfer process. If Rocha Moya otherwise enters U.S. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s end date, this will also qualify. An announcement that extradition has been requested, approved, ordered, or agreed to will not qualify unless Rocha Moya is physically transferred to, arrested by, or otherwise taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s end date. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rubén Rocha Moya, the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa, the United States government, and relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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