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Rubio's Republican nomination odds hit 30% by December 31?

Politics Resolves January 1, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 16¢ (16% implied probability). Resolves January 1, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Rubio's hourly odds value in the "2028 Republican Nomination" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com meets or exceeds 30% for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and January 1, 2027, 12:00

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket16¢16%$6K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Rubio's hourly odds value in the "2028 Republican Nomination" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com meets or exceeds 30% for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which Marco Rubio's hourly odds value is below 30% ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for Marco Rubio (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for Marco Rubio in the

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