StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will Eduardo Paes win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election?

Politics Resolves October 5, 2026 91 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 82¢, while Polymarket has it at 89¢. That's a 5.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves October 5, 2026 (~91 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 5.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi82¢82%$653
Polymarket89¢89%
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