StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaves HHS Secretary in before 2027?

Politics Resolves December 31, 2026 178 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 38¢, while Polymarket has it at 32¢. That's a 6.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves December 31, 2026 (~178 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 6.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi38¢38%$197K
Polymarket32¢32%$5
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