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Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?

Economics Resolves August 5, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 6¢ (6% implied probability). Resolves August 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s August meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket6%$356

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s August meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for August 5, 2026. This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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