Polymarket is pricing this contract at 24¢ (24% implied probability). Resolves December 1, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 24¢ | 24% | $683K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.