StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?

Politics Resolves December 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 92¢ (92% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket92¢92%$5K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

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