Polymarket is pricing this contract at 9¢ (9% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 9¢ | 9% | $83K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.