Polymarket is pricing this contract at 6¢ (6% implied probability). Resolves December 1, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Laurent Nuñez ceases to be Minister of the Interior of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 6¢ | 6% | $3K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Laurent Nuñez ceases to be Minister of the Interior of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Laurent Nuñez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Laurent Nuñez offering to resign where the offer is refused, or continuing to run the ministry in a caretaker capacity after a government resigns, will not resolve this market to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Laurent Nuñez and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.