Polymarket is pricing this contract at 13¢ (13% implied probability). Resolves July 19, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of the UK is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 13¢ | 13% | $32K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of the UK is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed, or Keir Starmer is re-appointed as Prime Minister without another intervening Prime Minister, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.