StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Will Pat McFadden be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Politics Resolves December 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 0¢ (0% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Home Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket0%$257

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Home Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Home Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Home Secretary is appointed, or Shabana Mahmood is re-appointed as Home Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Home Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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