StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Will Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election?

Politics Resolves May 1, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 8¢ (8% implied probability). Resolves May 1, 2027. The next Serbian presidential election is currently expected to be held by May 1, 2027.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket8%$449

Resolution criteria

The next Serbian presidential election is currently expected to be held by May 1, 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next Serbian presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins the next Serbian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Serbian government, specifically the Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia (https://www.stat.gov.rs/).

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