StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Politics Resolves January 3, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 46¢ (46% implied probability). Resolves January 3, 2027. This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket46¢46%$16K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

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