Polymarket is pricing this contract at 32¢ (32% implied probability). Resolves February 1, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model (5.6+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 32¢ | 32% | $4K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model (5.6+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Haiku" and be designated as version 5.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.6 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Haiku 4.5 or Claude Haiku 5.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Haiku 6, while models whose name does not include "Haiku" or which retain a version designation below 5.6, such as Claude Haiku 5.5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicit