Polymarket is pricing this contract at 16¢ (16% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 16¢ | 16% | $242K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.