StreetSpread · Sports · Polymarket

Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?

Sports Resolves October 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 26¢ (26% implied probability). Resolves October 31, 2026. This market will resolve in favor of the bucket that matches the annual average value of the next NBA contract of LeBron James as reported at signing.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket26¢26%$8K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve in favor of the bucket that matches the annual average value of the next NBA contract of LeBron James as reported at signing. Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.

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