StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will Taylor Burks be the Republican nominee for MO-05?

Politics Resolves August 4, 2026 26 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 12¢, while Polymarket has it at 49¢. That's a 37.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves August 4, 2026 (~26 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 37.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi12¢12%$300
Polymarket49¢49%$40
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