StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will Hartzell Gray 3rd be the Democratic nominee for MO-04?

Politics Resolves August 4, 2026 25 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 76¢, while Polymarket has it at 48¢. That's a 28.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves August 4, 2026 (~25 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 28.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi76¢76%$3K
Polymarket48¢48%
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