StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will Timothy D Bilash be the Democratic nominee for MO-02?

Politics Resolves August 4, 2026 27 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 6¢, while Polymarket has it at 40¢. That's a 33.5¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves August 4, 2026 (~27 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 33.5¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi6%$0
Polymarket40¢40%
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