StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Politics Resolves December 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 6¢ (6% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket6%$159K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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