StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?

Politics Resolves January 1, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 6¢ (6% implied probability). Resolves January 1, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket6¢6%$6K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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