StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic nominee for MI-13?

Politics Resolves August 4, 2026 29 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 18¢, while Polymarket has it at 15¢. That's a 5.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves August 4, 2026 (~29 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 5.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi18¢18%$24K
Polymarket15¢15%$42
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