StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will Michael Bouchard be the Republican nominee for MI-10?

Politics Resolves August 4, 2026 29 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 88¢, while Polymarket has it at 93¢. That's a 4.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves August 4, 2026 (~29 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 4.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi88¢88%$3K
Polymarket93¢93%
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