StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will Amir Hassan be the Republican nominee for MI-08?

Politics Resolves August 4, 2026 24 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 92¢, while Polymarket has it at 78¢. That's a 14.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves August 4, 2026 (~24 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 14.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi92¢92%$51
Polymarket78¢78%$33
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