StreetSpread · Culture · Polymarket

Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?

Culture Resolves December 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 81¢ (81% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if trial proceedings for any case against Luigi Mangione are begun by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket81¢81%$719

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if trial proceedings for any case against Luigi Mangione are begun by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Once the jury is empaneled and sworn in, trial proceedings will be considered to have begun in a qualifying case. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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