Kalshi prices this contract at 12¢, while Polymarket has it at 28¢. Resolves January 1, 2027 (~53 days). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 12¢ | 12% | $63K |
| Polymarket | 28¢ | 28% | $8K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party,