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Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

Politics Resolves August 23, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 98¢ (98% implied probability). Resolves August 23, 2026. Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket98¢98%$867

Resolution criteria

Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.

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