StreetSpread · Politics · Kalshi

Will the number of distinct U.S. states satisfying the REDISTRICTING Payout Criterion before November 3, 2026, treating “after Issuance” as “after July 1, 2025” be below 8 before the 2026 midterms?

Politics Closes November 3, 2026 Kalshi

Kalshi's current ask is 12¢ for YES on this contract (12% implied). Closes November 3, 2026 (~120 days). Below 8

Live price

SideCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi (yes ask)12¢12%$2K
Kalshi (yes bid)6%
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