StreetSpread · Politics · Kalshi

Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 30 in Jul 2026?

Politics Closes August 4, 2026 Kalshi

Kalshi's current ask is 99¢ for YES on this contract (99% implied). Closes August 4, 2026 (~28 days).

Live price

SideCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi (yes ask)99¢99%$2K
Kalshi (yes bid)98¢98%—
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