StreetSpread · Politics · Kalshi

Will the number of Representatives Tony Gonzales, Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick who leave the U.S. House of Representatives (with an actual departure date, per EFFECTIVELEAVE contract) be exactly 4 before November 3, 2026?

Politics Closes November 3, 2026 Kalshi

Kalshi's current ask is 31¢ for YES on this contract (31% implied). Closes November 3, 2026 (~120 days).

Live price

SideCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi (yes ask)31¢31%$7K
Kalshi (yes bid)27¢27%
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