StreetSpread · Politics · Kalshi

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2026?

Politics Closes October 1, 2026 Kalshi

Kalshi's current ask is 48¢ for YES on this contract (48% implied). Closes October 1, 2026 (~87 days).

Live price

SideCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi (yes ask)48¢48%$803K
Kalshi (yes bid)46¢46%—
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