Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 be above 5%?
EconomicsCloses July 30, 2026Kalshi
Kalshi's current ask is 73¢ for YES on this contract (73% implied). Closes July 30, 2026 (~24 days).
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